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2024 Oscars Best Actor Predictions



Selection Awards Circuit part is the house for all awards information and associated content material all year long, that includes the next: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Selection senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages replicate the present standings within the race and don’t replicate private preferences for any particular person contender. As different formal (and casual) polls counsel, competitions are fluid and topic to vary primarily based on buzz and occasions. Predictions are up to date each Thursday.

Go to the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies by way of the hyperlinks beneath:


2023 Oscars Predictions:
Finest Actor

Colman Domingo in Rustin
David Lee/Netflix © 2022

Weekly Commentary (Up to date July 27, 2023): The Cannes Movie Competition introduced many notable movies that might vie for awards consideration, together with Apple’s “Killers of the Flower Moon” starring Leonardo DiCaprio. An Oscar-winner for “The Revenant” (2015), his flip as a husband with ulterior motives is one among his best. It will be exhausting to think about a lineup that wouldn’t embrace him.

From the primary half of 2023, smaller movies have names value contemplating, similar to Kelvin Harrison Jr from Searchlight’s “Chevalier.” The summer season has now dropped Cillian Murphy into the combo because the titular “Oppenheimer” from Christopher Nolan. Regardless of Nolan’s huge respect within the business and popular culture, Heath Ledger (“The Dark Knight”) is the one actor nominated and received an Academy Award for one of many auteur’s films. Might Murphy grow to be the second (or third/fourth with co-stars Robert Downey Jr and Emily Blunt contending in supporting classes)?

Whereas we’re anticipating a supporting push for Ryan Gosling, there are some that see his sensible flip as Ken in Greta Gerwig’s “Barbie,” as a number one position. We’ll record him in each locations for now.

Amid the continuing Hollywood strikes, the present should go on, no less than by way of fall festivals like Venice, Telluride and Toronto.

At Venice, we’ll pay shut consideration to when Bradley Cooper’s sophomore directorial effort “Maestro” bows on the Lido. The biopic of Leonard Bernstein has the eight-time Oscar nominee enjoying the famed composer in a movie he additionally wrote and produced for Netflix. The streamer hopes Cooper’s film goes to be a big participant and grow to be the third particular person to direct themselves to appearing wins – after Laurence Olivier (“Hamlet”) and Roberto Benigni (“Life is Beautiful”).

As will be anticipated, Netflix is brimming with a number of candidates that might pop up, similar to Colman Domingo in George C. Wolfe’s “Rustin,” which is able to debut at TIFF.

One other competition drop having robust early phrase is Alexander Payne’s “The Holdovers,” with Paul Giamatti trying to avenge his prison “Sideways” snub 20 years in the past, one other joint from Payne. Coincidentally, Jamie Foxx, who received that 12 months for “Ray,” could possibly be within the dialogue once more with Maggie Betts’ “The Burial.”

Lots extra films can transfer in or shift out of the calendar 12 months. It’s nonetheless early, however the chess items are being carried out.

Learn: Selection’s Awards Circuit for the most recent Oscars predictions in all classes.

And the Predicted Nominees Are:

  1. Paul Giamatti — “The Holdovers” (Focus Options)
  2. Leonardo DiCaprio — “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Unique Movies/Paramount Photos)
  3. Cillian Murphy — “Oppenheimer” (Common Photos)
  4. Bradley Cooper — “Maestro” (Netflix)
  5. Colman Domingo — “Rustin” (Netflix)

Subsequent in Line

  1. Kingsley Ben-Adir — “Bob Marley: One Love” (Paramount Photos)
  2. Adam Driver — “Ferrari” (Neon)
  3. Jeffrey Wright — “American Fiction” (MGM)
  4. David Strathairn — “A Little Prayer” (Sony Photos Classics)
  5. Paul Dano — “Dumb Money” (Sony Photos)

Different High-Tier Potentialities

  1. Barry Keoghan — “Saltburn” (Amazon Studios)
  2. Anthony Hopkins — “Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Photos Classics) **
  3. Matt Damon — “Air” (Amazon Studios)
  4. Teo Yoo — “Past Lives” (A24)
  5. Christian Friedel — “The Zone of Interest” (A24)
  6. Michael Fassbender — “The Killer” (Netflix)
  7. Jamie Foxx — “The Burial” (Amazon Studios)
  8. Joaquin Phoenix — “Napoleon” (Apple Unique Movies/Sony Photos)
  9. Jesse Garcia — “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Photos)
  10. Jay Baruchel — “BlackBerry” (IFC Movies)

Additionally In Competition

  1. Zac Efron — “The Iron Claw” (A24)
  2. Lakeith Stanfield — “The Book of Clarence” (Sony Photos) **
  3. Jaime Vadell — “El Conde” (Netflix)
  4. Paul Mescal — “Foe” (Amazon Studios)
  5. Michael Fassbender — “Next Goal Wins” (Searchlight Photos)
  6. Alden Ehrenreich — “Fair Play” (Netflix)
  7. Peter Sarsgaard — “Memory” (No U.S. Distribution)
  8. Justin H. Min— “Shortcomings” (Sony Photos Classics)
  9. Timothée Chalamet — “Wonka” (Warner Bros.)
  10. Gael García Bernal — “Cassandro” (Amazon Studios)

All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Studio)**

  • Kenneth Branagh — “A Haunting in Venice” (twentieth Century Studios)
  • Tom Hardy — “The Bikeriders” (twentieth Century Studios)
  • Joaquin Phoenix — “Beau is Afraid” (A24)
  • Zac Efron — “The Iron Claw” (A24) **
  • Tee Yoo — “Past Lives” (A24)
  • Jacob Elordi — “Priscilla” (A24) **
  • Jesse Eisenberg — “When You Finish Saving the World” (A24)
  • Christian Friedel — “The Zone of Interest” (A24)
  • Matt Damon — “Air” (Amazon Studios)
  • Jamie Foxx — “The Burial” (Amazon Studios)
  • Gael García Bernal — “Cassandro” (Amazon Studios)
  • Paul Mescal — “Foe” (Amazon Studios)
  • Barry Keoghan — “Saltburn” (Amazon Studios)
  • Riz Ahmed — “Fingernails” (Apple Unique Movies)
  • Orén Kinlan — “Flora and Son” (Apple Unique Movies) **
  • Joseph Gordon-Levitt — “Flora and Son” (Apple Unique Movies) **
  • Leonardo DiCaprio — “Killers of the Flower Moon” (Apple Unique Movies/Paramount Photos)
  • Joaquin Phoenix — “Napoleon” (Apple Unique Movies/Sony Photos)
  • Liev Schreiber — “Across the River and Into the Trees” (Bleecker Avenue)
  • Paul Giamatti — “The Holdovers” (Focus Options)
  • Jay Baruchel — “BlackBerry” (IFC Movies)
  • Jesse Garcia — “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Photos)
  • Keanu Reeves — “John Wick Chapter 4” (Lionsgate)
  • Joel Edgerton — “Master Gardener” (Magnolia Photos)
  • Paul Rudd — “Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quanumania” (Marvel Studios)
  • Bradley Cooper — “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Marvel Studios) **
  • Chris Pratt — “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3” (Marvel Studios) **
  • Callum Turner — “The Boys in the Boat” (MGM)
  • Michael B. Jordan — “Creed III” (MGM)
  • Jeffrey Wright — “American Fiction” (MGM)
  • Jaime Vadell — “El Conde” (Netflix)
  • Alden Ehrenreich — “Fair Play” (Netflix)
  • Josh O’Connor — “La Chimera” (Neon)
  • Michael Fassbender — “The Killer” (Netflix)
  • Bradley Cooper — “Maestro” (Netflix)
  • Dev Patel — “The Monkey King” (Netflix)
  • Colman Domingo — “Rustin” (Netflix)
  • Robert DeNiro — “Ezra” (No U.S. Distribution)
  • Peter Sarsgaard — “Memory” (No U.S Distribution)
  • Kingsley Ben-Adir — “Bob Marley: One Love” (Paramount Photos)
  • Tom Cruise — “Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One” (Paramount Photos)
  • Kelvin Harrison Jr. — “Chevalier” (Searchlight Photos)
  • Jonathan Majors — “Magazine Dreams” (Searchlight Photos) **
  • Michael Fassbender — “Next Goal Wins” (Searchlight Photos) **
  • Lakeith Stanfield — “The Book of Clarence” (Sony Photos)
  • Paul Dano — “Dumb Money” (Sony Photos)
  • Denzel Washington — “The Equalizer 3” (Sony Photos)
  • Aaron Taylor-Johnson — “Kraven the Hunter” (Sony Photos)
  • Shameik Moore — “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Photos)
  • Anthony Hopkins — “Freud’s Last Session” (Sony Photos Classics)
  • David Strathairn — “A Little Prayer” (Sony Photos Classics)
  • Adam Driver — “Ferrari” (Neon)
  • Cillian Murphy — “Oppenheimer” (Common Photos)
  • Jason Mamoa — “Aquaman and the Lost Kingdom” (Warner Bros.)
  • Ryan Gosling — “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) **
  • Xolo Maridueña — “Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.)
  • Timothée Chalamet — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) **
  • Timothée Chalamet — “Wonka” (Warner Bros.)
  • Harrison Ford — “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny” (Warner Bros.)
  • Jonah Hauer-King — “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Photos)

2022 class winner: Brendan Fraser, “The Whale” (A24)

** signifies an unconfirmed launch date in 2023 or might marketing campaign within the lead or supporting classes. All launch dates are topic to vary.

Oscars Predictions Classes


Concerning the Academy Awards

The Academy Awards, higher referred to as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious inventive award within the movie business. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been chosen by members of the Academy of Movement Image Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented throughout the almost 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting administrators, cinematographers, costume designers, administrators, documentary, executives, movie editors, make-up and hairstylists, advertising and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, manufacturing design, quick movies and have animation, sound, visible results and writers.

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